Alternate Version: PDF version (2 pages, 249 KB) 2016-0276-testingassumptions-eng.pdf
Chart for Breakout Groups
Before the breakout: Copy the template for viewing on the breakout room wall, filling in the first column only with the commonly-held assumptions generated over the course of the study.
At the meeting: Ask participants to rate whether each commonly-held assumption seems C (credible), U (uncertain) or V (vulnerable) according to the conditions of the given scenario. Where the group finds an assumption vulnerable, discuss and record in the last column what a better, more robust assumption could be.
|Commonly-held Assumption||Scenario Name||Scenario Name||Scenario Name||Revised Robust Assumption|
Chart for Plenary Session
Before the plenary: Use the template to summarize the breakout group findings on a wall to present back to the group. Copy the (original) list of commonly-held assumptions, and indicate for each assumption under each scenario, whether it was deemed to be: C (credible), U (uncertain) or V (vulnerable). Beside each V, in the same column, record also the robust assumption proposed by the breakout group.
During the plenary: Reporters present their group’s findings. Review the assumptions deemed vulnerable under more than one scenario and in the last column write a new revised robust assumption to address all scenarios, based on discussion with participants.
|Commonly-held Assumption||Scenario||Scenario||Scenario||Scenario||Revised Robust Assumption|
|Muddling Through||Incremental Decline||Incremental Progress||Transformation|