(Splash page with the Policy Horizons Canada federal identity logo, the Government of Canada word mark and the Horizons identifier in the center of the page. The title Metascan 2011 title fades in.)
(Spinning globe turning counter-clockwise)
The world is changing
(Globe zooming in on Canada where multiple blue silhouettes of people are standing)
The pace of change is challenging our policy preparedness
(Zoom-in on groups of human silhouettes colored in blue or purple, young, old, walking, talking…)
and Canada must look ahead to remain prosperous and secure
What challenges lie ahead?
(The silhouettes fading out.)
(Zoom-in on a blue silhouette of a man holding a tablet computer displaying various graphs)
The digital generation and new collaboration tools
will create new ways of thinking and working
(Zoom-out, a light blue silhouette of a woman with purple glasses fades-in, facing the man, and a large semi-transparent screen appears between both silhouettes displaying the document content from the tablet computer)
Co-creation and co-production are at the core of the change
(Two linked circles appear under the silhouettes, linking them linking them together. Zoom-in on the hand of the man holding the tablet while he’s interacting with the virtual screen in front of him. Fade-out)
Will these tools enable citizens and governments
(Multiple blue silhouettes of people standing in line waiting to be served by light blue silhouettes of clerks standing behind the counter. One man standing in line is holding a tablet computer while waiting)
to co-produce services and policy at lower cost with improved efficiency?
(Lineup is moving forward, silhouettes in line disappearing as they are being served. Silhouettes and counter disappear leaving only the silhouette of the man holding the tablet computer and one of the clerks that was behind the counter. The clerk moves toward the man. Two linked circles appear under the silhouettes linking them together while a large semi-transparent screen appears between both silhouettes displaying a government of Canada electronic document that is also on the tablet computer. Fade-out)
Social media gives non-state actors the ability to communicate
(Fade-in, blue silhouette of a person holding a purple electronic device emitting a pulse around it. Zoom-out, multiple other silhouettes of people standing)
and organize with speed and surprise
(Linked circles connect the person with the electronic device with the other blue silhouettes changing to light blue. Fade-out)
What advantages and challenges are presented in new ways of organizing?
(Forward zoom-in on silhouettes of a group of people picketing, some of them are holding purple signs. Fade-out)
Co-creation allows new kinds of authority to emerge
(Fade-in, two blue silhouettes of a man holding a tablet computer and a women standing in front of him, they are standing in two linked circles .)
Emerging global standards such as the "triple bottom-line"
are being shaped by business and non-state actors
but they may affect our ability to compete internationally
(A large semi-transparent interface appears from below between the two silhouettes displaying icons and graphs while the man interacts with the screen)
What is the appropriate role for government in these processes?
(The man clicking on the screen turns around and, a light blue silhouette scrolls in from the right side and engages with the man. In the back we can see two light blue silhouettes of clerks behind a counter and an image of the parliament of Canada behind them. Fade-out)
There are a growing number of pressures and voices demanding more integrated policies
(Blue and light blue silhouettes of people from various social groups, sex and age are scrolling from left to right)
on environmental sustainability and societal well-being
(Green and light green silhouettes of trees and animals are merging with the other scrolling silhouettes)
A broader definition of progress is emerging
(The scrolling stops on purple silhouettes of a group of kids raising their hands; above them appears a purple icon of three stickmen holding hands on the left and a green icon of the earth on the right)
How can Canada leverage this shift to our advantage?
(Blue globe showing Canada appears behind the group of kids. On the left, light blue silhouettes of an elderly couple with a purple icon of three stickmen holding hands above them and, the silhouette of a business man with a blue icon of a dollar sign above him appear. On the right, blue silhouettes of a family with the purple icon, a light green silhouette of a fawn with the green icon and a light blue silhouette of a business lady with the blue icon also appear. Fade-out)
Do we need to rethink how we produce and consume?
(Zoom-out on a cog manufacturing factory producing and packaging with silhouettes of multiple workers and a robotic arm attending each stage of the process. Fade-out)
The emerging "project economy"
(Fade-in, smaller animated factory on the left showing only 2 workers and a robot taking care of producing the cogs. Silhouettes of multiple other workers standing outside the factory with nothing to do.)
is dividing global value chains into smaller and smaller tasks
(another factory appears on the right and cogs from the left factory are flowing out to it)
reducing traditional job benefits and security
How can social policy framework adapt?
(left over workers start changing color and moving around picketing and holding signs)
Can co-production and co-consumption expand opportunities?
(left over workers start regrouping into smaller groups, changing back to their former blue colour. Linked circles appear under each new group and the factory on the right. Images of different assembly and packaging steps appear between the linked circles and new formed groups. Cogs stop flowing directly from left to right factories and start flowing through the groups. Fade-out)
Climate change and population growth
(Fade-in, World map with animated color temperatures. Hundreds of human silhouettes fade-in on map)
will likely create regional food and water shortages over the next decade
(animated color temperatures fade-out. Images of grain icons and water icons appear randomly on top of silhouettes in each continent. Silhouettes and images fade-out)
Some countries will move to protect agriculture and natural resources
(Semi-transparent, large green and yellow arrows appear and flow from one continent and country to the other fade in with images of grain, pork and fish moving through them. Large quantities of grain images appear in Asia.)
How will our dependency on the global food system affect our resiliency?
(Arrows become opaque. Arrow size changes from large to narrow and vice-versa)
National efforts to build resilience may conflict with global trade rules
(Arrows go back to semi-transparent images leaving only large quantity of grain in Asia. Large purple arrows going outward in all direction from Asia appear. Grain and animals start moving through them)
How can we reconcile these two priorities?
(Purple arrows become semi-transparent. Grain from Asia still flows and grain transport trucks are scrolling at bottom of screen from right to left. Fade-out)
The international consensus is shifting, with the BRICs, Brazil, Russia, India, and China
(World map appears on top of screen and a roundtable with multiple silhouettes of people sitting around it appears under it)
(One of the silhouettes at the table and Brazil on the map get highlighted in purple and then returns to it’s normal state)
(A different silhouette at the table and Russia on the map get highlighted in purple and then returns to it’s normal state)
(A different silhouette at the table and India on the map get highlighted in purple and then returns to it’s normal state)
(A different silhouette at the table and China on the map get highlighted in purple and then returns to it’s normal state)
and the Next 11 taking a growing role in shaping global policy
(Two different silhouettes at the table and Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Turkey, South Korea, and Vietnam on the map get highlighted in purple and then return to their normal states)
(most silhouettes at the table and all previous countries on the map get highlighted)
How can Canada use new collaboration processes
to build consensus and influence
(Roundtable disappears, centering in on world map. Canada is circled. New circles appear in other continents linking to Canada. )
in the emerging world order?
(Other circles start linking to each other. Fade-out)
Can key international institutions be revitalized through such collaboration?
(Futuristic roundtable made of a semi-transparent screen and electronic terminals reaching out to blue silhouettes of people sitting around it showing multiple linked circles. The silhouettes are changing to purple counter-clockwise until everything becomes purples)
Can co-creation and co-production with non-state actors facilitate problem solving?
(Zoom-out, roundtable disappears leaving only circled sitting silhouettes in the center. A circled group of business people silhouettes appear on the left linking them to the middle group. A circled group of business people silhouettes appear on top linking them to the middle group. A circled group of business people silhouettes appear on the right linking them to the middle group. Fade-out)
Uncertainty and rapid change are increasing vulnerability
in the emerging economic and financial system
(World map showing various size office building icons over the world linked to each other by blue line. Lines’ colour starts changing to red one after another until they have all changed)
Could Canada help build new capacity to cope with this complexity?
(Buildings in Canada start growing and making the lines’ color change from red to green throughout the world. Fade-out)
How do we meet the challenge of new, disruptive threats to national security
(Earth globe zoomed-in on Canada with red target icons and question mark icons flashing around the country.)
in a period of fiscal constraint for many of our NATO partners?
(Earth globe zooming out and rotating displaying the same flashing icons in other countries. Fade-out)
Rogue players may pursue strategies such as cyber-disruption
(An office building gets surrounded by multiple silhouettes of business man holding laptops appearing sequentially, each one linked individually by circles and lines to the building.)
or the use of remote controlled drones
(All silhouettes disappear except for one and a series of controlled drones fly in. Fade-out)
Some potential changes are far more disruptive than others
and could even invalidate some foundational policy assumptions
(Rotating earth globe zooming in and out with a stationary floating question mark icon)
What if the United States starts to lose influence?
(World map highlighting the United States while floating silhouettes of a large city and the statue of liberty are scrolling by)
The economic centre of gravity is shifting to Asia
(World map is moving towards and highlighting Asia. Silhouette of Shanghai skyline floating and scrolling through. Fade-out)
Canada is highly integrated with the US in economic and security terms
What are the risks for Canada?
(Silhouette of a Canadian Coast Guard boat navigating. Silhouette of a US Navy aircraft supercarrier joins it for a while and then leaves the screen)
Canada relies on immigration for a skilled workforce in the face of changing demographics
(Earth globe zoomed-in on Canada with arrows coming in from each side. Blue silhouettes of people coming into the country are flowing through the arrows. Purple silhouettes of professional workers are appearing in the center of the map.)
With global demand, and attractive emerging markets, what if immigrants don't come or don't stay?
(The purple silhouettes start disappearing. The blue silhouettes are leaving the country flowing through the arrows, now pointing out of the country. Fade-out)
What if Canada's traditional natural resources are no longer competitive?
(World map showing large purple arrow going out of the country to Europe, the US and Asia. Icons of oil, wood and metal ingot are moving to the US while icons of wood and metal ingot are moving to Europe and Asia.)
China and others are developing resources in countries with lower costs and standards
potentially undermining our advantage
(Purple arrows are now narrower. Trees and metal ingots nolonger flow to the US. New blue arrows appear in other countries and move out the same goods throughout the world. Fade-out)
The accelerating process of technological change will create new jobs
(Background showing a printed circuit board and a meshed digitized face. The silhouette of a robotic arm is floating in the foreground.)
but there will likely be a net loss of traditional jobs
(Background fades out. The silhouette of a construction worker, a maid and a waiter start to disappear, leaving place to a world map with silhouettes of various professionals standing on different countries.)
How will global job losses impact competitiveness, policy and values systems?
(The silhouettes start disappearing one by one and icons of a dollar sign, three stickmen holding hands, a question mark and a globe flash over the map. Fade-out)
These policy challenges make clear we must anticipate and explore change
(Animated slideshow in 4 frames of all the previous animation in acceleration. Fade out)
To ensure our place in the future, we must look ahead, prepare, and adapt to a rapidly changing world
(Earth spinning and zooming in and out quickly. Fade-out)
(Splash page with the Policy Horizons Canada federal identity logo, the Government of Canada word mark, the Horizons identifier in the center of the page with www.horizons.gc.ca below it and a sensory.com word mark at the bottom right of the page)